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  特斯拉刚交出“灾难级财报”,却逆势大涨5%,马斯克一通高能电话会让市场燃起希望:他要远离DOGE,专心当CEO了!

  特斯拉正面临重重挑战,包括关税、新能源车市场的演变,以及新产品一再拖延的历史

  特斯拉(TSLA.O)刚刚交出了一份“灾难性财报”,但股价却开始反映出一些对未来的乐观情绪。这种反弹能持续吗?

  韦德布什分析师丹·艾夫斯(DanIves)对特斯拉即将开启的“新篇章”表示欢迎——不仅体现在产品和财务数据上,更体现在首席执行官埃隆·马斯克(ElonMusk)的发言内容上。

  “比起数字,更重要的是,马斯克趁这个机会转变立场,重新与股东和员工沟通,远离DOGE和特朗普政府的‘白宫事务’,重新明确他作为特斯拉CEO的角色,”艾夫斯在给客户的报告中写道。马斯克“在财报电话会议中发出明确而响亮的信号,我们认为这是特斯拉故事的转折点。”

  CEO的回归关注是否足以彻底扭转特斯拉的股价走势?尽管特斯拉前路困难重重,但马斯克打算减少与特朗普政府DOGE的合作,短期内或许能提振市场情绪。不过,他个人的努力毕竟只是特斯拉拼图中的一块,他所能控制的也有限。

  特斯拉股价近几个月遭受重创,投资者对马斯克参与狗狗币事务颇有微词,这不仅被视为对特斯拉领导职责的分心,也因其政治色彩而被认为对品牌构成风险。

  周三,特斯拉股价上涨5.4%,投资者对未来更加乐观,涨幅超出纳斯达克综合指数(COMP)2.5%的涨幅,后者受到对中美贸易战缓和预期的提振。

  但艾夫斯也指出,马斯克当前的举动无法抹去此前对品牌造成的伤害,且“未来一年内,特斯拉仍将面临逆风、关税和增长放缓等挑战。”不过,好消息是,在公司试图推进廉价车型和推出自动驾驶出租车业务之际,终于迎回了掌舵人。

  艾夫斯将特斯拉的目标价从315美元上调至350美元,维持“跑赢大盘”评级。他表示,现在特斯拉的股价将更多反映其“颠覆性科技故事”,而非政治纷争。

  CantorFitzgerald分析师安德烈斯·谢泼德(AndresSheppard)也持看多态度,指出在财报发布前特斯拉股价年初至今下跌了41%,这或许给投资者带来了“逢低买入”的机会。他同样对马斯克减少参与DOGE事务的表态表示欢迎。

  不过,他也提醒称,特斯拉的危机尚未解除。“我们预计,马斯克的政治立场具有两极化色彩,仍会对消费者需求造成一定冲击,尤其是在中国和欧洲市场,”谢泼德写道。

  谢泼德补充称,尽管特斯拉整体业务面临不确定性,但其能源业务所承受的关税风险甚至高于汽车业务。

  他维持对特斯拉股票的“增持”(Overweight)评级,但将目标价从425美元下调至355美元。

  Needham分析师克里斯·皮尔斯(ChrisPierce)则持更为审慎的观点。他写道:“我们意识到短期内政治因素可能打击需求,但尚未看到有什么令人信服的理由能说明特斯拉的需求会迅速反弹。

  在他看来,特斯拉的汽车业务仍“承压”,特别是在美国电动车“重镇”加州,一季度的销量数据显示,需求反弹“仍难以预见”。他认为特斯拉可能需要进一步加大促销力度,而这将继续压缩利润率。而特斯拉的“Cybercab”和低价车型计划也会进一步加重这种压力。

  皮尔斯对特斯拉维持“持有”评级。

  Oppenheimer分析师科林·鲁施(ColinRusch)同样选择观望,对特斯拉计划6月在德州奥斯汀推出的付费自动驾驶出行服务表示质疑。

  “考虑到特斯拉在相关技术上的长期跳票历史,我们认为公司目前还处于‘拿出实绩再说’的阶段,”他写道,并维持“中性”(Perform)评级。

  风险提示及免责条款:市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议,也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资,责任自负。

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