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  来源:财联社

  周二盘后,深陷政治漩涡的特斯拉发布了一份核心业绩完全逊于预期的一季报。由于汽车交付量的骤减,公司营收、利润等核心财务指标全部大幅低于预期。

  上市公司也在财报中多次提及关税政策的冲击,疑似间接对特朗普的贸易政策展开抨击。

  不过在此前4个月近乎腰斩的股价波动之后,特斯拉的投资者似乎对业绩挫折抗性颇强。财报发布后的首个小时里,特斯拉股价在盘后波动平平。合理推断,市场正在观望马斯克在财报说明会上的言论,包括是否会提及退出特朗普政府的事宜。

(特斯拉日线图,来源:TradingView)

  财报数据糟糕

  财报显示,特斯拉今年一季度实现营收只有193.35亿美元,市场预期为213.48亿美元。与过往业绩对比,公司去年一季度的营收为213亿美元,去年四季度则为257亿美元。

  拖累业绩的核心原因是汽车销量骤减。此前的交付数据显示,特斯拉一季度总交付量为336681辆,同比下降13%,创2022年以来最差季度表现。

  受此影响,汽车业务营收只有139.67亿美元,同比下滑20%。纵使能源和储能业务实现67%的营收增速(27.3亿美元),也无法改变财报的整体走向。

  与此同时,由于在AI等研发项目的投入,公司运营费用不减反增,导致营运利润同比骤降66%至3.99亿美元。营业利润率只剩下2.1%,同比下降343个基点。最终调整后的每股盈利仅为0.27美元,同比下降40%,市场预期则为0.43美元。

  换句话来说,如果没有一季度靠出售监管积分(碳排放信用额)获得的5.95亿美元,特斯拉将交出一份亏损的财报。

  前景展望近乎没有

  作为本次美股财报季的重头戏,市场也高度关注特斯拉如何评价“特朗普关税”的冲击。

  公司在财报中表示,快速变化的贸易政策,对全球供应链和特斯拉的成本结构产生不利影响,汽车和能源市场的不确定性不断增加。这种动态,再加上政治情绪的变化,可能会对特斯拉产品的需求产生重要影响,尤其是在短期内。

  特斯拉也披露,当前的关税形势对能源业务的影响,相较于汽车业务更大。

  分析指出,这句话背后的缘由指的是特斯拉的大型储能电池Megapack,使用从中国进口的磷酸铁锂电池。相较而言,特斯拉在美国销售的汽车全都在本地组装,不过也会受到零部件进口关税的影响。

  作为意料之中的展开,特斯拉的最新财报中没有提及汽车业务恢复增长的预期。在上个季度的财报电话会议中,公司曾预期汽车业务将在2025年恢复增长。

  特斯拉表示,目前很难衡量全球贸易政策变化对供应链、成本结构以及需求的影响,公司将在二季度的财报中重新审视2025年的指导预期。

  画饼时间

  在财报中,特斯拉也披露,廉价新车型仍将按计划在2025年上半年开始生产。

  新车型将融合利用下一代平台和当前平台的技术,并共享现有的生产线。这种方式可以在不确定性时期谨慎地扩大产能,并充分利用当前接近300万辆的预期最大产能。在投资新生产线之前,就能实现产量较2024年增长60%以上。

  公司同时预期,无人驾驶出租车Cybercab将在2026年投入大规模生产。

  财报也披露,Robotaxi将在今年6月于美国奥斯汀展开试点,今年也将在弗里蒙特工厂试点制造Optimus机器人,并将在工厂中部署更多执行实际工作的机器人。公司也在财报中附上了Optimus试生产线的照片。

  特斯拉也披露,其位于德克萨斯州的锂精炼厂和阴极材料生产工厂有望在今年投产。

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