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转自:中国经济时报

摄影/胡畔

■中国经济时报记者胡畔

  一季度国民经济运行数据今日发布。

  据国家统计局数据,一季度国内生产总值318758亿元,同比增长5.4%,比2024年四季度环比增长1.2%。农业生产形势较好,农业(种植业)增加值同比增长4.0%。全国规模以上工业增加值同比增长6.5%,比2024年全年加快0.7个百分点。服务业增加值同比增长5.3%,比2024年全年加快0.3个百分点。社会消费品零售总额124671亿元,同比增长4.6%,比2024年全年加快1.1个百分点。全国固定资产投资(不含农户)103174亿元,同比增长4.2%,比2024年全年加快1.0个百分点;扣除房地产开发投资,全国固定资产投资增长8.3%。货物进出口总额103013亿元,同比增长1.3%,其中,出口61314亿元,增长6.9%;进口41700亿元,下降6.0%。全国居民消费价格指数(CPI)同比下降0.1%。全国城镇调查失业率平均值为5.3%。全国居民人均可支配收入12179元,同比名义增长5.5%,扣除价格因素实际增长5.6%。

  国家统计局副局长盛来运在4月16日国新办举行的新闻发布会上表示,总的来看,一季度,随着各项宏观政策继续发力显效,国民经济起步平稳、开局良好,延续回升向好态势,创新引领作用增强,发展新动能加快培育壮大。具体来看,一季度经济运行有五个突出特点。

一是增长稳中有升。一季度GDP同比增长5.4%,增速高于去年全国5%的增速,也高于去年一季度5.3%的增速,在全球主要经济体中名列前茅,延续了去年以来持续稳中向好、稳中回升的态势。同时,生产需求指标也加快回升。

二是就业收入总体稳定。一季度,全国城镇调查失业率指标是5.3%,3月份是5.2%,比2月份回落0.2个百分点。全国居民人均可支配收入扣除物价因素,实际增长5.6%,与GDP增长基本同步。

三是国际收支状况良好。一季度,全球经济增长动能偏弱,但我国进出口保持基本平稳的态势,一季度货物贸易进出口同比增长1.3%,出口增长6.9%;1—2月份,服务进出口增长9.9%;3月末,外汇储备余额保持在3.2万亿美元以上。值得一提的是,2月份以来,国际贸易限制增多,我国一季度出口保持6.9%的速度,显示了中国出口的韧性。

四是高质量发展向新向好。在实现量的合理增长的同时,新质生产力培育壮大,高质量发展向新向好的大势没有改变。众多科技成果不断突破,带动一季度高技术产业加快成长。一季度,规模以上高技术制造业增加值同比增长9.7%。绿色发展持续推进。一季度,非化石能源消费占能源消费总量的比重同比提高了1.5个百分点。高水平对外开放稳步扩大,民生保障持续加力。

五是市场活力信心增强。前期出台的宏观政策和今年以来扩容加码的增量政策叠加发力,有效扩大了需求、促进了生产、激发了活力、增强了信心。3月份,制造业采购经理人指数是50.5%,比2月份上升了0.3个百分点,连续两个月回升。一些实物量指标显示生产要素支撑作用在增强。一季度货运量同比加快;3月末,人民币贷款余额增长7.4%,社会融资规模存量8.4%,有力有效支撑了经济增长回升向好。

  在充分肯定成绩的同时,也要清醒地看到,当前外部环境更趋复杂严峻,全球贸易保护主义快速升温,世界经济秩序面临重创,国内结构转型任务仍然比较繁重。

  盛来运强调,持续推动经济回升向好,需要付出更加艰巨的努力。我们要紧密团结在党中央周围,坚定信心、凝聚共识,积极应对风险挑战,集中力量办好自己的事,以中国经济的稳定增长和高质量发展的确定性应对外部变化的不确定性,确保中国经济稳中有进,持续向好。

  其中,对于美国近期“对等关税”对中国GDP的影响,盛来运表示,我们坚决反对美国搞关税壁垒和贸易霸凌,这种做法损人不利己。

  从短期来看,美国加征高额关税会对贸易和经济带来一定压力,但是改变不了中国经济持续长期向好的大势。中国经济基础稳、韧性强、潜力大,我们有底气、有能力、有信心应对外部挑战,实现经济发展目标。

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